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Short Range Public Discussion
(Latest Discussion - Issued 2000Z Jun 03, 2023)
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Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 400 PM EDT Sat Jun 03 2023 Valid 00Z Sun Jun 04 2023 - 00Z Tue Jun 06 2023 ...Unsettled weather to continue through the weekend across much of the High Plains and into the Central/Northern Rockies with locally heavy rainfall... ...Hot temperatures to continue across the Northern Plains and much of the Midwest... ...Much colder weather with much below normal temperatures expected across the Northeast... A broad area of unsettled weather will continue through the weekend across many areas of the High Plains and through the central and northern Rockies as a large upper-level trough persists over the region. Scattered areas of showers and thunderstorms are expected, and locally heavy rainfall will be possible. In fact, the Weather Prediction Center has depicted a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall across areas of northern Wyoming through central Montana, and also separately for areas of the Texas Panhandle, western Oklahoma and far southwest Kansas going through tonight where slow-moving showers and thunderstorms are expected. Isolated to locally scattered instances of flash flooding will be possible across these areas. On Sunday, the excessive rainfall threat will taper down a bit across the northern High Plains, but will continue for areas of the southern High Plains with a focus on the Texas Panhandle. The severe weather threat will overall be quite isolated this weekend, but the Storm Prediction Center does depict a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms across the Lower Rio Grande Valley in south Texas through this evening where some storms may produce large hail and damaging winds. Elsewhere, a strong upper-level ridge of high pressure over the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest will keep many of these areas rather hot with high temperatures in the upper 80s to the low 90s which will be as much as 10 to 20 degrees above normal for this time of the year. A few widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are also expected. By Monday, a cold front advancing south from Canada will begin to help cool off areas of the Upper Midwest and through the Great Lakes region. Meanwhile, the Northeast U.S. will see quite the opposite weather pattern for the remainder of the weekend and into early next week as a strong upper-level low drops south from areas of southeast Canada and down through New England. This will bring much colder air down along with it, with temperatures forecast to be well below normal. Some high temperatures will stay in the 50s the next couple of days and be as much as 10 to 20 degrees below normal. The colder temperatures will be amplified in part by cloud cover and areas of rain, especially along the New England coast, as low pressure strengthens offshore over the next couple of days. The weather across the remainder of the country for the next couple of days will be rather tranquil although cooler temperatures will tend to filter south down across the Mid-Atlantic and into the Southeast as northeast winds advance down the coast behind a cold front. Some scattered shower and thunderstorm activity is expected from the central Appalachians down through the Tennessee Valley and the central and western Gulf Coast region. Along the West Coast, generally dry weather is expected, although some scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible by early next week over the Sierra Nevada. Temperatures will also be warming well above normal across areas of the Pacific Northwest, with near to locally below normal temperatures expected for the Southwest. Orrison Graphics available at