Phase Diagram: The ensemble spread phase diagrams all verify at 00Z today, with the blue dot showing the forecasted position of the GEFS ensemble mean verifying today, the
red x's showing the individual ensemble members verifying today, and the green dot showing the 0-h forecast position in the phase diagram at the time when the forecast was initialized. All ensemble spread
forecasts are hosted alongside GEFS ensemble mean forecasts of 250-hPa wind speed and geopotential height, 500-hPa relative vorticity and geopotential height, 850-hPa standardized temperature anomalies and mean sea-level pressure, and 24-h accumulated precipitation that all verify today.
Conventions for the deterministic and probabilistic phase diagrams are identical to those discussed in their respective tabs and show an evolution of the previous 10 deterministic and probabilistic forecast trajectories through the phase diagram. All probabilistic and deterministic forecasts are also hosted
alongside GEFS ensemble mean forecasts of 250-hPa wind speed and geopotential height that verify today.