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Tropical Depression CRISTOBAL Advisory Number 32
 
Issued 15:00Z Jun 09, 2020
 
Advisory Selection
View advisory number:  35   34   33   32   31   30   29   


BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Cristobal Advisory Number  32
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD   AL032020
1000 AM CDT Tue Jun 09 2020

...CRISTOBAL MOVING ACROSS MISSOURI...
...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE SPREADING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE
MIDDLE AND UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES
TODAY AND TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.9N 92.2W
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM WNW OF ST. LOUIS MISSOURI
ABOUT 185 MI...330 KM SSW OF DAVENPORT IOWA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for...
* Areas in and near the length of the Mississippi Valley

Wind Advisories are in effect for...
* The Lower Mississippi Valley into Upper Great Lakes

A Gale Warning is in effect for...
* Much of Lake Michigan
* Portions of eastern Lake Superior
* Portions of Lake Huron


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Cristobal was located near latitude 38.9 North, longitude 92.2 West.
The depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 25 mph (17
km/h) and this motion is expected to accelerate over the next 24 to
36 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 36 hours as
Cristobal transitions to an extratropical cyclone.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Gusty winds are expected tonight and Wednesday over
portions of the Midwest and western Great Lakes as Cristobal
strengthens as an extratropical low.

RAINFALL: Cristobal will produce storm total rainfall accumulations
of 2 to 4 inches with local amounts to 6 inches from Arkansas to
the western Great Lakes through Wednesday morning.  This rainfall
may produce flash flooding, and is forecast to produce new and
renewed minor to moderate river flooding across portions of the
lower Missouri and mid to upper Mississippi Valleys. Smaller
streams and rivers across southeast Louisiana, southern
Mississippi, and eastern Arkansas have already begun to rise.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible across the Mississippi
and Ohio Valleys today into tonight.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.


Forecaster Hayes

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  09/1500Z 38.9N  92.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 12H  10/0000Z 42.5N  90.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 24H  10/1200Z 47.3N  86.6W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 36H  11/0000Z 51.7N  80.5W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP