The Weather Prediction Center

College Park, MD


Storm Summary Message



Storm Summary Number 2 for Four Corners to Great Lakes Winter Storm
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
900 AM CST Thu Feb 16 2023

...Moderate to Heavy snowfall moving across the Central Plains and
Middle Mississippi Valley as winter storm continues east... 

A swath of Winter Weather Advisories surround the Winter Storm
Warnings from the Central Plains through the Middle Missouri
Valley, Upper Mississippi Valley, Upper Great Lakes, and into the
Lower Peninsula of Michigan.

A southwest to northeast swath of Winter Storm Warnings are in
effect from the Central Plains into the Middle Missouri Valley,
Upper Mississippi Valley, and Upper Great Lakes.

For a detailed graphical depiction of the latest watches, warnings
and advisories, please see www.weather.gov

At 800 AM CST...A low pressure center was located near Paducah,
KY, with a minimum central pressure of 1007 mb, or 29.73 inches of
mercury. Low pressure over western Kentuckey will move
northeastward to off the Northeast Coast by Friday evening.
National Weather Service Doppler Radar indicated an arcing band of
moderate to heavy snow over parts of the Centreal Plains, Upper
and Middle Mississippi Valley. In addition to the snow, very cold
temperatures followed in the air mass to the north of the front
across the Plains, Rockies, and into the Southwest. The coldest
temperatures were currently in place in Wyoming, with many
locations below zero. 

...Selected preliminary Storm Total Snowfall in inches from 600 AM
CST Tue Feb 14 through 800 AM CST Wed Feb 16...

...COLORADO...
COAL BANK PASS                       27.0                    
WOLF CREEK PASS 1 SE                 25.0                    
CRESTED BUTTE 7 WNW                  18.0                    
SKYWAY 2 NW                          18.0                    
SAN ISABEL 6 NNW                     16.0                    
PAGOSA SPRINGS 8 WNW                 14.0                    
CRESCENT VILLAGE 1 SSW               12.0                    
TRINIDAD                             10.0                    
PETERSON AIR FORCE BASE 1 WSW         8.4                    
BOULDER 3 SSW                         8.3                    
DURANGO 2 NE                          8.0                    
PUEBLO WEST 2 ESE                     7.7                    
FLAGLER                               6.0                    
YUMA 8 N                              6.0                    
DENVER 1 S                            3.5                    

...IOWA...
COSGROVE                              7.0                    
IOWA CITY                             6.0                    
TIFFIN 1 ENE                          5.0                    
GLENWOOD 3 WNW                        3.8                    
IOWA CITY 4 ENE                       3.5                    

...KANSAS...
ATWOOD                                9.5                    
GOODLAND 1 NNE                        7.8                    
OAKLEY                                6.3                    
AGRA 5 WSW                            6.0                    
TRIBUNE                               4.5                    
SAINT FRANCIS 10 N                    3.5                    
JOHNSON CITY 1 WNW                    3.0                    
GARDEN CITY                           2.0                    

...NEBRASKA...
LINCOLN 2 SSW                         8.5                    
WILSONVILLE                           8.0                    
FRIEND                                7.0                    
PAPILLION 1 NNE                       6.2                    
HASTINGS NWS OFFICE                   6.1                    
MCCOOK                                1.0                    

...OKLAHOMA...
KENTON                                7.0                    
BOISE CITY                            3.3                    
GUYMON                                2.5                    

...Selected preliminary Peak Wind gusts in miles per hour earlier
in the event...

...ARIZONA...
PHOENIX                                55                    
SALOME                                 53                    
PINAL PEAK                             52                    
YUMA                                   48                    

...CALIFORNIA...
EL CENTRO                              72                    
IMPERIAL                               66                    

...NEW MEXICO...
OTIS 5 WSW                             71                    
WHITE SANDS 1 SSE                      68                    

...OKLAHOMA...
GUYMON                                 84                    
ELK CITY 2 NE                          62                    
NORMAN 2 NW                            57                    

...TEXAS...
LORA 6 ESE                             76                    
AMARILLO 6 E                           64                    
LUBBOCK 6 NNE                          64                    

...UTAH...
HARRISBURG                             75                    
MAESER 8 NW                            75                    
ALTA                                   72                    

...Selected preliminary Storm Total Snowfall in inches where the
event has ended...

...ARIZONA...
FOREST LAKE 1 E                      18.0                    
VERNON 8 N                           18.0                    
ARIZONA SNOWBOWL                     17.0                    
WHEATFIELDS                          14.0                    
DOWNTOWN FLAGSTAFF 2 N               12.2                    
SHOW LOW 1 N                         11.5                    
WILLIAMS 3 WSW                       10.0                    
FOREST LAKE                           8.0                    
PRESCOTT 2 SW                         8.0                    
WASHINGTON PARK 4 S                   7.3                    

...IDAHO...
POCATELLO 3 E                         9.0                    
LAVA HOT SPRINGS 3 WNW                8.5                    
IDAHO FALLS 1 S                       2.6                    
DOWNEY                                2.5                    

...MONTANA...
RED LODGE 5 W                        21.0                    
NYE 16 SW                            15.0                    
JOLIET 2 WNW                          9.0                    
RIDGE 4 NE                            8.0                    
BOZEMAN 1 SE                          6.7                    
LIVINGSTON 7 ESE                      5.2                    
BILLINGS 4 SW                         4.5                    
PLEVNA                                3.1                    

...NEW MEXICO...
CHUPADERO 7 E                        15.0                    
TOADLENA 5 SSW                       13.0                    
CHACON 2.3 ENE                       12.2                    
MCGAFFEY 1 ESE                       12.0                    
MOGOLLON 3 ESE                       11.0                    
RED RIVER                            10.0                    
PINOS ALTOS 1 N                       8.0                    
CUBA                                  6.0                    
ALTO 2 SE                             5.0                    
SANTA FE 4 ENE                        4.3                    
ALBUQUERQUE 9 NE                      4.0                    
FARMINGTON 3 ESE                      4.0                    

...TEXAS...
TEXLINE                               4.0                    
DUMAS                                 2.7                    
BORGER 1 ENE                          2.5                    
SPEARMAN                              1.0                    

...UTAH...
CEDAR CITY                           10.8                    
MONTICELLO 1 WSW                      6.5                    
CANYONLANDS NATIONAL PARK 5 NE        6.0                    
BRYCE CANYON NATIONAL PARK 2 S        5.3                    
CASTLE VALLEY 1 W                     4.0                    
BLUFF 1 ENE                           3.4                    
SALT LAKE CITY                        1.2                    

...WYOMING...
TETON VILLAGE 1 WNW                  25.0                    
STORY 2 WSW                          14.0                    
BURGESS JUNCTION 7 ESE               12.0                    
THERMOPOLIS                          10.0                    
CODY 2 WSW                            9.0                    
LANDER 9 SSE                          8.5                    
CASPER 2 SSW                          7.0                    
OLD FAITHFUL                          6.0                    
TURNERVILLE 3 SE                      6.0                    
GILLETTE                              4.0                    


The low pressure system is forecast to move to the northeast into
the Ohio Valley by Thursday evening, and into the Northeast by
Friday morning. Snow currently over the Central Plains will begin
to taper off through the afternoon hours Thursday. The snow will
move into the Great Lakes overnight Thursday and into Northern New
England by Friday morning. The system will continue to produce
rain, thunderstorms, a wintry mix, and snow across central and
eastern portions of the country as it moves to the east. Warm,
moist air will flow northward from the Gulf of Mexico ahead of the
cold front. Severe weather and heavy rainfall, including some
isolated to scattered instances of flash flooding, will be
possible with the storms ahead of the front. The flow of moisture
will also persist around to the north and west of the surface low
over the colder air mass to the north, helping to continue a swath
of moderate to heavy snow from the Middle Missouri Valley, Upper
Mississippi Valley, and into the Upper Great Lakes. Snowfall
totals will generally range between 4-8 inches, with some locally
higher amounts possible. Uncertainty in amounts increases farther
to the northeast over the Upper Great Lakes, though snow is still
expected. Snowfall rates may approach a heavy 1-2" per hour at
times. Gusty northerly winds will lead to some areas of blowing
snow, including for locations where the snowfall has or will soon
end. In addition, a wintry mix of rain, freezing rain, sleet, and
snow is expected to the south of the snowfall axis, particularly
from northern Missouri into northern Illinois. Bitterly cold wind
chills will continue through Wednesday night for portions of
southern Wyoming, where temperatures may feel as cold as 25 below
for some locations.

The next Storm Summary will be issued by the Weather Prediction
Center at 900 PM CST. Please refer to your local National Weather
Service office for additional information on this event.

Ziegenfelder




Last Updated: 1037 AM EST THU FEB 16 2023