The Weather Prediction Center

College Park, MD


Storm Summary Message



Storm Summary Number 1 for Four Corners to Great Lakes Winter Storm
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
900 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2023

...Moderate to Heavy snowfall moving across the Central Plains as
winter storm continues east... 

A southwest to northeast swath of Winter Storm Warnings are in
effect from the Central High Plains into the Central Plains,
Middle Missouri Valley, Upper Mississippi Valley, and Lower Great
Lakes.

A swath of Winter Weather Advisories surround the Winter Storm
Warnings from the Central High Plains east through the Central
Plains, Middle Missouri Valley, Upper Mississippi Valley, Lower
Great Lakes, and into the Lower Peninsula of Michigan.

For a detailed graphical depiction of the latest watches, warnings
and advisories, please see www.weather.gov

At 800 PM CST...A low pressure center was located near Vernon, TX,
or about 200 miles northwest of Dallas, TX, with a minimum central
pressure of 1001 mb, or 29.56 inches of mercury. A stationary
front extended northeastward through the Middle Mississippi Valley
and into the Ohio Valley, as a cold front extended to the
southwest over western Texas. A secondary cold front arced to the
northwest through the Southern and Central Rockies, the western
edge of a frigid Arctic air mass to the northeast. National
Weather Service Doppler Radar indicated an arcing band of moderate
to heavy snow to the northeast of the surface low from
east-central Colorado east into northwest Kansas and southward
into southwest Kansas. Another band of light to moderate snow
extended eastward through southern Nebraska, with additional areas
of light snow to the southwest into the Oklahoma and Texas
Panhandles. In addition to the snow, very cold temperatures
followed in the air mass to the north of the front across the
Plains, Rockies, and into the Southwest. The coldest temperatures
were currently in place in Wyoming, with many locations below
zero. 

...Selected preliminary Storm Total Snowfall in inches from 600 AM
CST Tue Feb 14 through 700 PM CST Wed Feb 15...

...COLORADO...
COAL BANK PASS                       27.0                    
WOLF CREEK PASS 1 SE                 25.0                    
CRESTED BUTTE 7 WNW                  18.0                    
SKYWAY 2 NW                          18.0                    
SAN ISABEL 6 NNW                     16.0                    
PAGOSA SPRINGS 8 WNW                 14.0                    
CRESCENT VILLAGE 1 SSW               12.0                    
TRINIDAD                             10.0                    
PETERSON AIR FORCE BASE 1 WSW         8.4                    
BOULDER 3 SSW                         8.3                    
DURANGO 2 NE                          8.0                    
PUEBLO WEST 2 ESE                     7.7                    
FLAGLER                               6.0                    
YUMA 8 N                              6.0                    
DENVER 1 S                            3.5                    

...KANSAS...
TRIBUNE                               4.5                    
GOODLAND 1 NNE                        3.8                    
SAINT FRANCIS 10 N                    3.5                    
JOHNSON CITY 1 WNW                    3.0                    
GARDEN CITY                           2.0                    

...NEBRASKA...
MCCOOK                                1.0                    

...NORTH DAKOTA...
RHAME                                 4.0                    

...OKLAHOMA...
KENTON                                7.0                    
BOISE CITY                            3.3                    
GUYMON                                2.5                    

...SOUTH DAKOTA...
CHEYENNE CROSSING 3 ESE               5.7                    
DEADWOOD 1 SW                         5.0                    
DEERFIELD 9 NW                        3.0                    
SPEARFISH 2 WNW                       3.0                    

...TEXAS...
TEXLINE                               4.0                    
DUMAS                                 2.7                    
BORGER 1 ENE                          2.5                    
SPEARMAN                              1.0                    

...Selected preliminary Peak Wind gusts in miles per hour earlier
in the event...

...ARIZONA...
PHOENIX                                55                    
SALOME                                 53                    
PINAL PEAK                             52                    
YUMA                                   48                    

...CALIFORNIA...
EL CENTRO                              72                    
IMPERIAL                               66                    

...NEW MEXICO...
OTIS 5 WSW                             71                    
WHITE SANDS 1 SSE                      68                    

...OKLAHOMA...
GUYMON                                 84                    
ELK CITY 2 NE                          62                    
NORMAN 2 NW                            57                    

...TEXAS...
LORA 6 ESE                             76                    
AMARILLO 6 E                           64                    
LUBBOCK 6 NNE                          64                    

...UTAH...
HARRISBURG                             75                    
MAESER 8 NW                            75                    
ALTA                                   72                    

...Selected preliminary Storm Total Snowfall in inches where the
event has ended...

...ARIZONA...
FOREST LAKE 1 E                      18.0                    
VERNON 8 N                           18.0                    
ARIZONA SNOWBOWL                     17.0                    
WHEATFIELDS                          14.0                    
DOWNTOWN FLAGSTAFF 2 N               12.2                    
SHOW LOW 1 N                         11.5                    
WILLIAMS 3 WSW                       10.0                    
FOREST LAKE                           8.0                    
PRESCOTT 2 SW                         8.0                    
WASHINGTON PARK 4 S                   7.3                    

...IDAHO...
POCATELLO 3 E                         9.0                    
LAVA HOT SPRINGS 3 WNW                8.5                    
IDAHO FALLS 1 S                       2.6                    
DOWNEY                                2.5                    

...MONTANA...
RED LODGE 5 W                        21.0                    
NYE 16 SW                            15.0                    
JOLIET 2 WNW                          9.0                    
RIDGE 4 NE                            8.0                    
BOZEMAN 1 SE                          6.7                    
LIVINGSTON 7 ESE                      5.2                    
BILLINGS 4 SW                         4.5                    
PLEVNA                                3.1                    

...NEW MEXICO...
CHUPADERO 7 E                        15.0                    
TOADLENA 5 SSW                       13.0                    
CHACON 2.3 ENE                       12.2                    
MCGAFFEY 1 ESE                       12.0                    
MOGOLLON 3 ESE                       11.0                    
RED RIVER                            10.0                    
PINOS ALTOS 1 N                       8.0                    
CUBA                                  6.0                    
ALTO 2 SE                             5.0                    
SANTA FE 4 ENE                        4.3                    
ALBUQUERQUE 9 NE                      4.0                    
FARMINGTON 3 ESE                      4.0                    

...UTAH...
CEDAR CITY                           10.8                    
MONTICELLO 1 WSW                      6.5                    
CANYONLANDS NATIONAL PARK 5 NE        6.0                    
BRYCE CANYON NATIONAL PARK 2 S        5.3                    
CASTLE VALLEY 1 W                     4.0                    
BLUFF 1 ENE                           3.4                    
SALT LAKE CITY                        1.2                    

...WYOMING...
TETON VILLAGE 1 WNW                  25.0                    
STORY 2 WSW                          14.0                    
BURGESS JUNCTION 7 ESE               12.0                    
THERMOPOLIS                          10.0                    
CODY 2 WSW                            9.0                    
LANDER 9 SSE                          8.5                    
CASPER 2 SSW                          7.0                    
OLD FAITHFUL                          6.0                    
TURNERVILLE 3 SE                      6.0                    
GILLETTE                              4.0                    


The low pressure system is forecast to move to the northeast into
the Middle Mississippi Valley by Thursday morning, the Ohio Valley
by Thursday evening, and into the Northeast by Friday morning.
Snow currently over the Central High Plains will begin to taper
off through the evening and overnight hours Wednesday. The system
will continue to produce rain, thunderstorms, a wintry mix, and
snow across central and eastern portions of the country as it
moves to the east. Warm, moist air will flow northward from the
Gulf of Mexico ahead of the cold front. Severe weather and heavy
rainfall, including some isolated to scattered instances of flash
flooding, will be possible with the storms ahead of the front. The
flow of moisture will also persist around to the north and west of
the surface low over the colder air mass to the north, helping to
continue a swath of moderate to heavy snow from the Central Plains
northeastward through the Middle Missouri Valley, Upper
Mississippi Valley, and into the Lower Great Lakes. Snowfall
totals will generally range between 4-8 inches, with some locally
higher amounts possible. Uncertainty in amounts increases further
to the northeast over the Lower Great Lakes, though snow is still
expected. Snowfall rates may approach a heavy 1-2" per hour at
times. Gusty northerly winds will lead to some areas of blowing
snow, including for locations where the snowfall has or will soon
end. In addition, a wintry mix of rain, freezing rain, sleet, and
snow is expected to the south of the snowfall axis, particularly
from northern Missouri into northern Illinois. Bitterly cold wind
chills will continue through Wednesday night for portions of
southern Wyoming, where temperatures may feel as cold as 25 below
for some locations.

The next Storm Summary will be issued by the Weather Prediction
Center at 900 AM CST. Please refer to your local National Weather
Service office for additional information on this event.

Putnam




Last Updated: 1012 PM EST WED FEB 15 2023