The Weather Prediction Center

College Park, MD


Storm Summary Message



Storm Summary Number 04 for Significant Great Lakes Lake Effect
Snow Event
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
1000 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

...More heavy snow bands expected to shift southward tonight
downwind of Lake Erie, and downwind of Lake Ontario into Sunday...

Lake Effect Snow Warnings are in effect for downwind portions of
Lake Erie and Ontario in Upstate New York, northwestern
Pennsylvania, as well as northeastern Ohio.

Winter Storm Warnings are in effect for downwind portions of Lake
Michigan in the lower Michigan.

Winter Weather Advisories are in effect downwind from Lake
Superior in northern Wisconsin and the upper Michigan, as well as
areas further downwind from Lake Erie and Lake Ontario.

For a detailed graphical depiction of the latest watches, warnings
and advisories, please see www.weather.gov

At 900 PM EST...National Weather Service Doppler radar detected an
intensifying band of lake effect snowfall over portions of Lake
Erie and Ontario, gradually translating south with time. The
uptick of this lake effect band is in response to increasing
westerly winds related to an approaching cold front analyzed over
the Central Ohio Valley. Behind the front, radar and surface
observations observed moderate to heavy snowfall ongoing downwind
of Lake Michigan beneath persistient west-northwesterly flow.

...Selected preliminary Storm Total Snowfall in inches from 900 AM
EST Wed Nov 16 through 900 PM EST Sat Nov 19...

...INDIANA...
ROSELAND 1 S                          5.2                    
ELKHART                               4.0                    
LA PORTE                              4.0                    

...MICHIGAN...
IRONWOOD 4 N                         24.5                    
EAST JORDAN 1 ESE                    24.0                    
CHEBOYGAN                            16.0                    
TWIN LAKES 1 WSW                     15.6                    
COMSTOCK PARK 2 SSW                  14.5                    
BUCHANAN 4 N                         13.1                    
WELLSTON 1 WNW                       10.8                    
HOWARD CITY                          10.0                    
BARTON CITY                           9.0                    
BANGOR                                8.5                    
ROGERS CITY 1 W                       8.0                    
HASTINGS 1 WNW                        7.0                    
LAKE OF THE CLOUD 4 SSW               7.0                    
CHATHAM 1 SE                          6.0                    
EAST GRAND RAPIDS 2 S                 6.0                    

...NEW YORK...
ORCHARD PARK                         77.0                    
HAMBURG 1.9 WNW                      73.7                    
NATURAL BRIDGE 3 SW                  72.3                    
BLASDELL 2 SW                        71.0                    
ELMA 2.7 WSW                         58.2                    
WATERTOWN                            57.4                    
EAST AURORA 2 WNW                    54.5                    
FORT DRUM 1 SSE                      54.0                    
EDEN 5 WNW                           50.0                    
WEST SENECA 1 SW                     49.0                    
MARILLA 2 S                          48.0                    
COPENHAGEN 4 NW                      40.0                    
NORTH BOSTON 1 NNE                   38.0                    
LANCASTER 2 S                        36.0                    
ALDEN 1 WNW                          34.5                    
HOLLAND 3 ENE                        33.5                    
NWS BUFFALO OFFICE                   30.2                    
BUFFALO INTL ARPT                    26.0                    
ADAMS                                25.0                    
EDEN 5 NNW                           25.0                    
WILLIAMSTOWN 4 SW                    24.0                    
CHEEKTOWAGA                          19.0                    
EAST AURORA                          17.2                    
WILLIAMSVILLE 1 NW                   16.4                    
POINT ROCK 1 SE                      14.4                    
EAST CONCORD 3 E                     13.0                    
WARSAW 3 W                           12.5                    
KENNEDY 3 SE                         11.0                    
MEXICO 2 SW                          10.7                    
DUNKIRK                              10.5                    
MARCY                                 8.0                    
OSWEGO                                7.3                    

...OHIO...
MONROE CENTER 2 ESE                  18.7                    
EDGEWOOD                             16.1                    
CONNEAUT 1 WSW                       14.0                    
NORTH MADISON                         6.0                    

...PENNSYLVANIA...
HARBORCREEK 4 SE                     16.0                    
SPRINGBORO 3 WNW                     13.8                    
CHERRY HILL 1 WNW                    13.1                    
ERIE INTL ARPT                       13.1                    
EDINBORO 2 NW                        11.0                    
CORRY 2 SSW                          10.0                    

...WISCONSIN...
GILE                                 24.5                    
SAXON 4 W                            20.0                    
HURLEY 4.1 SSE                       18.7                    
CEDAR 1 SSE                          13.0                    
MAPLE 3 N                             8.0                    

...Selected preliminary Storm Total Snowfall in inches where the
event has ended...

...MINNESOTA...
HOVLAND 8 W                          29.0                    
SILVER BAY 4 NNW                     24.0                    
FINLAND 3 E                          21.0                    
GRAND MARAIS 9 NNW                   10.0                    
DULUTH 2 NNE                          3.0                    


As the aforementioned cold front passes through the Interior
Northeast tonight, winds shifting to west or west-northwest will
bring an influx of colder air to support continued heavy snow
shifting south toward the Buffalo and Watertown vicinity. As with
the earlier episodes of lake effect snow, snowfall rates with this
activity will reach 2-3 inches per hour and combine with gusty
winds to produce near-zero visibility and dangerous travel. The
snowfall should begin to subside from west to east through
tomorrow as the favorable wind trajectories and cold air advection
over the Lakes begins to end following the passage of a surface
ridge and subsequent warmer air behind it.

The next Storm Summary will be issued by the Weather Prediction
Center at 1000 AM EST. Please refer to your local National Weather
Service office for additional information on this event.

Asherman/Kong




Last Updated: 949 PM EST SAT NOV 19 2022