12 STEP METHODOLOGY OUTLINE

1- WHICH MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE AVAILABLE?

2- LATEST MODEL SOFTWARE CHANGES AND UPDATED MODEL CHARACTERISTICS AND BIASES

3- MEAN HEIGHT MAPS AND CLIMATE PATTERN TO ESTABLISH STORM TRACK

4- COMPARE INITIAL AND MODEL FORECAST

FIELDS TO OBSERVED DATA

5- CONTRAST MEDIUM RANGE MODEL RUNS..ASSESS PLAUSIBILITY..AND CONSIDER THE FORECAST PROBLEMS OF THE DAY

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