Then how do we approach forecasting QPF ,
For lighter, more frequent events.
Calibrated ensemble methods
also work well
may be more computationally expensive in long run.
Statistical-man mix may be an option
. Since a
forecaster might be able to take into account the
predictability of the pattern.
a person might be able to combine information
from ensemble and statistical methods to adjust
POPS (this is already being done at HPC in the 3-7