THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 2 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS TO MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREEZING RAIN EVENT
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
900 PM CST TUE FEB 20 2018

...HEAVY RAINFALL...FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW CURRENTLY IMPACTING
REGIONS FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES... 

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FROM NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS
ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...MUCH OF MISSOURI
AND INTO ILLINOIS.

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FROM THE
EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES...IN ADDITION TO THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE TENNESSEE AND
OHIO VALLEYS AND THE INTERIOR OF NEW ENGLAND.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 800 PM CST...A COLD FRONT WITH SHARP TEMPERATURE GRADIENT WAS
SLOWLY ADVANCING EASTWARD ACROSS THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
INTO THE GREAT LAKES.  THE MAIN LOW LOW PRESSURE CENTER HAD
ALREADY MOVED OFF TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE GREAT LAKES AS A NEW LOW
PRESSURE CENTER WAS FORMING NEAR THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF TEXAS. 
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED THAT A LONG SWATH OF MODERATE RAIN
WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WAS FALLING MAINLY BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT FROM NORTHEAST TEXAS THROUGH THE MIDWEST INTO LOWER
MICHIGAN.  RIGHT BEHIND THE RAIN...A MIX OF SNOW SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN WAS REPORTED.  RAIN HAD ENDED ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES AS THE WARM FRONT HAS LIFTED NORTH INTO CANADA.  RAIN WAS
MAINLY LIGHT OVER NORTHERN MAINE NEAR THE WARM FRONT.

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL FREEZING RAIN ICE AMOUNTS IN INCHES FROM
200 AM CST THU FEB 20 THROUGH 800 PM CST TUE FEB 20...

...IOWA...
GRAFTON                               0.38                    
DES MOINES 1 WNW                      0.20                    
MURRAY 1 W                            0.20                    
IOWA FALLS 1 NE                       0.19                    
ALBIA                                 0.13                    
FAYETTE 2 NNW                         0.10                    
MONTEZUMA 1 W                         0.10                    
NEW HAMPTON                           0.10                    
OTTUMWA 1 NE                          0.10                    
WAUKEE 1 N                            0.10                    

...KANSAS...
ALTOONA 5 N                           0.25                    
HUMBOLDT 5 ESE                        0.25                    
LAWRENCE 2 SW                         0.25                    
BERRYTON 1 W                          0.22                    
BLAINE                                0.20                    
OTTAWA                                0.15                    
IOLA 2 E                              0.12                    
MAYETTA 5 WNW                         0.05                    

...MICHIGAN...
ALOHA 1 SSE                           0.25                    
HARVEY 3 SE                           0.20                    
LEVERING                              0.19                    
ALPENA                                0.13                    
IRON MOUNTAIN 4 NNE                   0.10                    
NEGAUNEE 4 NE                         0.10                    
NORWAY 1 SSE                          0.10                    
SAINT IGNACE                          0.10                    
THREE LAKES 2 ESE                     0.10                    
WATERS 1 NW                           0.10                    

...MINNESOTA...
AUSTIN                                0.20                    
FILLMORE 3 WSW                        0.10                    
ROCHESTER 1 SW                        0.10                    

...MISSOURI...
PLEASANT HILL 2 N                     0.19                    

...OKLAHOMA...
SHAWNEE 1 E                           0.35                    
PINE 1 E                              0.25                    
WAYNE                                 0.25                    
ENID                                  0.15                    
FAIRVIEW                              0.10                    

...WISCONSIN...
ASHWAUBENON                           0.20                    
RIPLINGER 7 SSE                       0.20                    
SHAWANO 1 SSE                         0.18                    
OCONTO                                0.15                    
OSHKOSH                               0.15                    
STODDARD 5 NNE                        0.15                    
OMRO                                  0.12                    
THREE LAKES                           0.12                    
ALMOND                                0.10                    
AMHERST                               0.10                    

...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 200 AM
CST THU FEB 20 THROUGH 800 PM CST TUE FEB 20...

...ILLINOIS...
HOMER 2 N                             4.64                    
CHATSWORTH                            4.00                    
CRETE 3 SSE                           3.49                    
MACOMB 5 NW                           3.40                    
JOLIET 2 N                            3.07                    
DANVILLE                              3.04                    
CRESCENT CITY 1 N                     2.29                    
HYDE PARK                             2.28                    
AVON 1 SSW                            2.09                    
PEORIA INTERNATIONAL AI               1.80                    
BATAVIA                               1.79                    
NORMAL 4 NE                           1.76                    
EARLVILLE 3 S                         1.62                    
BLOOMINGTON AIRPORT                   1.60                    
ALTONA                                1.57                    
WILLARD AIRPORT                       1.52                    

...INDIANA...
GOSHEN 2 WNW                          5.11                    
PORTAGE                               3.60                    
LAGRANGE 1 ENE                        3.50                    
GRANGER 1 ENE                         3.16                    
WHEATFIELD 1 ENE                      3.12                    
GULIVOIRE PARK 1 ENE                  3.09                    
GOSHEN 2 NE                           2.95                    
SOUTH BEND INTERNATIONA               2.83                    
VALPARAISO 5 SW                       2.69                    
TWIN LAKES 1 N                        2.58                    
MOROCCO 1 NW                          2.35                    
GRIFFITH 1 N                          2.30                    
VALPARAISO 3 ESE                      2.16                    

...MICHIGAN...
CONSTANTINE 2 E                       3.34                    
KINDERHOOK                            2.53                    
FREMONT                               2.36                    
BARRON LAKE                           2.27                    
COLON 3 SE                            2.22                    
BUCHANAN 1 ESE                        2.17                    
BYRON CENTER 1 E                      2.12                    
BIG RAPIDS WATER WORKS                1.87                    
HERSEY 2 SE                           1.85                    
PLAINWELL                             1.85                    

...WISCONSIN...
WEST ALLIS 2 NE                       2.12                    
JACKSON 2 E                           1.60                    
LAKE CATHERINE 1 NNE                  1.60                    
ARLINGTON                             1.32                    
SULLIVAN 4 SSE                        1.30                    
OREGON                                1.17                    
SAINT FRANCIS 1 WSW                   1.11                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SLEET IN INCHES FROM 200 AM CST THU FEB 20
THROUGH 800 PM CST TUE FEB 20...

...KANSAS...
GODDARD                               0.40                    
MAYETTA 5 WNW                         0.30                    
NWS WICHITA                           0.30                    
BUHLER NE                             0.25                    
CLEVELAND 3 ENE                       0.25                    
HALSTEAD NNE                          0.20                    


THE SURFACE LOW IN THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN
QUEBEC AS THE COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVES EASTWARD INTO THE OHIO
VALLEY AND FARTHER SOUTH INTO TEXAS BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE
FRONT WILL BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY ON WEDNESDAY AS IT DRAPES
ALONG THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND SOUTHERN
PLAINS THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS BOUNDARY WILL ACT AS A FOCAL POINT
FOR MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL IN ADDITION TO THE ICE
ACCUMULATIONS NEAR THE TRANSITION ZONE AS ARCTIC AIR SPILLS BEHIND
THE COLD FRONT. THE ARKLATEX REGION CAN EXPECT THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH STORM TOTALS OF 3 TO 6
INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. ELSEWHERE...AREAS FROM
CENTRAL TEXAS TO SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN CAN EXPECT 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. A MODERATE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
ALONG WITH THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE UPPER GREAT LAKES. THE
POTENTIAL FLOODING MAY OVERWHELM MAIN STEM RIVERS AND CAUSE MAJOR
RIVER FLOODING. NEAR THE TRANSITION ZONE OF THE PRECIPITATION
SHIELD...ACCUMULATING ICE WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING. PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY CAN EXPECT UP TO A THIRD OF AN INCH OF ICE. THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES CAN EXPECT UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 300 AM CST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

KONG




Last Updated: 1135 PM EST TUE FEB 20 2018