THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER

CAMP SPRINGS, MD


TROPICAL SUMMARY MESSAGE



 
PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 38 FOR THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL052006
11 PM EDT SAT SEP 02 2006        

...REMNANTS OF ERNESTO CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWARD...HEAVY RAIN
DIMINISHING...

FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA...SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA...CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA...AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY. 

WIND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NEW
YORK...CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...AND VERMONT.

AT 11 PM EDT SATURDAY...03Z...THE CENTER OF THE REMNANT OF ERNESTO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.7 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 76.9 WEST OR
50 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF STATE COLLEGE PENNSYLVANIA.

THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO HAVE CONTINUED TO MOVE NORTH SATURDAY AND
A NORTHWARD MOTION OF ABOUT 15 MPH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...HOWEVER THE
STRONGER WINDS ARE CONFINED TO OVER THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND NEAR
COASTAL AREAS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1014 MB OR 29.94
INCHES. 

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 10 PM EDT
SATURDAY

...FLORIDA...

ROCK ISLAND              6.74  
IMMOKALEE                5.96
MOORE HAVEN              4.74
KISSIMMEE                4.28
LEHIGH ACRES             4.16
LAKE WALES               3.85
OCHOPEE                  3.78

...SOUTH CAROLINA...

MT PLEASANT              6.82
MYRTLE BEACH             6.20  
MCCLELLANVILLE           6.35
DANIEL ISLAND            4.50
SURFSIDE BEACH           4.05  
CONWAY MARINA            4.00  

...NORTH CAROLINA...

GRIFTON                  9.85
CAPE FEAR RIVER          9.71  
WILMINGTON               9.58  
KINSTON                  9.57
SNOW HILL                8.40  
NEW RIVER NCAS           8.06  
WALLACE                  8.00
TRANTERS CREEK           7.57  
LONGWOOD                 7.23  
GREENVILLE               7.13  
RICHLANDS                7.06

...VIRGINIA...

WAKEFIELD               10.62
VIRGINIA BEACH          10.43
UPPER SHERANDO          10.11
NORFOLK                 10.00
WILLIAMSBURG 	         9.51
LITTLE PLYMOUTH          9.25
CHESAPEAKE               8.93
TOANO                    8.73
DEVILS KNOB              8.56
CONCORD                  8.54
JAMESTOWN                8.25
APPLE ORCHARD            8.23
CHINCOTEAGUE             8.00
GWYNNS ISLAND            8.00
WEEMS                    8.00 

...WEST VIRGINIA...

ELLISON RIDGE            3.20
BLOOMERY                 3.10
MARTINSBURG              3.09
INWOOD                   2.75
BUNKER HILL              2.61 
RIPLEY                   2.50  
SPENCER                  2.48  
RACINE                   2.43 
CHARLES TOWN             2.33 
TORNADO                  2.12  

...MARYLAND...

LEONARDTOWN             10.08
CHARLOTTE HALL           8.48 
BRANDYWINE               7.54 
SNOW HILL                7.19
HOLLYWOOD                6.92 
PRINCE FREDERICK         6.81 
SALISBURY                6.80
HOLLYWOOD                6.13
PRINCESS ANNE            5.90
BALTIMORE                5.00 

...DELAWARE...

JONES CROSSING           5.15
REDDEN                   4.52
GEORGETOWN ARPT 	 4.50   
BRIDGEVILLE              4.15
BETHANY BEACH            4.06
WOODSIDE                 3.75
PRIME HOOK               3.73
HARBESON                 3.34
BLACKBIRD                3.01
DOVER                    2.82
KITTS HUMMOCK            2.81   

...PENNSYLVANIA...

PINDLETON                4.36 
FRYBURG-MARBLE           4.12 
ANSONVILLE               3.92 
WILLIAMSPORT             3.38 
LILLY                    3.32 
DAUPHIN                  3.22 
DECATUR                  3.16 
HEPBURNVILLE             3.16 
LONELY ACRES             3.16 
CROWN                    3.04 
KRISLUND CAMP            3.00 
PORT ROYAL               2.90
ALTOONA                  2.90 
SELLINSGROVE             2.86 
HARRISBURG               2.73 

...NEW JERSEY...

MARGATE                  4.70
CHATSWORTH               4.20
CHARLOTTEBURG            3.64
MOUNT HOLLY              3.30
CAPE MAY                 3.29
NEW LISBON               3.20
LAKE HOPATCONG           3.20
BASKING RIDGE            3.12
PEQUANNOCK               3.08
WOODBINE                 2.98
ATLANTIC CITY            2.87
WILLINGBORO              2.77

...NEW YORK...

KATLIN                   3.00
PINE CITY                3.00
ERIN                     2.96
WOODHULL                 2.76
TUSCARORA                2.64
BELMONT                  2.45
SOUTHPORT                2.42
PORTAGEVILLE             2.30
CAMERON HILLS            2.15
BIG FLATS                2.04
LOCKPORT                 2.00
PERRY                    2.00


REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT SATURDAY POSITION...40.7 NORTH...AND 76.9
WEST...NORTHWARD MOVEMENT NEAR 10 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AT
35 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1014 MB.

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY ON THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO TO BE
ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER. REFER TO YOUR
LOCAL FORECAST OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS
SYSTEM.
 
TRIMARCO

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL    03/0300Z 40.7N 76.9W
12HR VT    03/1200Z 42.0N 76.9W
24HR VT    04/0000Z 43.6N 77.1W...OVER CANADA






Last Updated: 1052 PM EDT SAT SEP 02 2006