PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 37 FOR THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL052006
5 PM EDT SAT SEP 02 2006        

...REMNANTS OF ERNESTO ARE SLOWLY MOVING NORTHWARD...

FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA...SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...AND
NEW JERSEY.

COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY.

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF PENNSYLVANIA AND
WESTERN NEW YORK. 

WIND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY...EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...NEW YORK...CONNECTICUT...WESTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...AND VERMONT.

AT 5 PM EDT SATURDAY...21Z...THE CENTER OF THE REMNANT OF ERNESTO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.4 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 76.9 WEST OR
20 MILES NORTHWEST OF BALTIMORE MARYLAND.

THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO HAVE CONTINUED TO MOVE NORTH SATURDAY AND
A NORTHWARD MOTION OF ABOUT 10 MPH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...HOWEVER THE
STRONGER WINDS ARE CONFINED TO OVER THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND NEAR
COASTAL AREAS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB OR 29.83
INCHES. 

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 4 PM EDT
SATURDAY

...FLORIDA...

ROCK ISLAND              6.74  
IMMOKALEE                5.96
MOORE HAVEN              4.74
KISSIMMEE                4.28
LEHIGH ACRES             4.16
LAKE WALES               3.85
OCHOPEE                  3.78

...SOUTH CAROLINA...

MT PLEASANT              6.82
MYRTLE BEACH             6.20  
MCCLELLANVILLE           6.35
DANIEL ISLAND            4.50
SURFSIDE BEACH           4.05  
CONWAY MARINA            4.00  

...NORTH CAROLINA...

GRIFTON                  9.85
CAPE FEAR RIVER          9.71  
WILMINGTON               9.58  
KINSTON                  9.57
SNOW HILL                8.40  
NEW RIVER NCAS           8.06  
WALLACE                  8.00
TRANTERS CREEK           7.57  
LONGWOOD                 7.23  
GREENVILLE               7.13  
RICHLANDS                7.06

...VIRGINIA...

VIRGINIA BEACH          10.43
UPPER SHERANDO          10.11
NORFOLK                 10.00
WILLIAMSBURG 	         9.51
LITTLE PLYMOUTH          9.25
CHESAPEAKE               8.93
TOANO                    8.73
DEVILS KNOB              8.56
CONCORD                  8.54
JAMESTOWN                8.25
APPLE ORCHARD            8.23
CHINCOTEAGUE             8.00
GWYNN ISLAND             8.00 

...WEST VIRGINIA...

ELLISON RIDGE            3.20
MARTINSBURG              3.08 
RIPLEY                   2.50  
SPENCER                  2.48  
RACINE                   2.43 
CHARLES TOWN             2.33 
TORNADO                  2.12  

...MARYLAND...

LEONARDTOWN             10.08
CHARLOTTE HALL           8.48 
BRANDYWINE               7.54 
SNOW HILL                7.19
HOLLYWOOD                6.92 
PRINCE FREDERICK         6.81 
SALISBURY                6.80
HOLLYWOOD                6.13
PRINCESS ANNE            5.90
BALTIMORE                5.00 

...DELAWARE...

JONES CROSSING           4.76
GEORGETOWN		 4.51 
REDDEN                   4.35  
BRIDGEVILLE              3.98
BETHANY BEACH            3.61
PRIME HOOK               3.59
HARBESON                 3.34
DOVER                    2.82
KITTS HUMMOCK            2.81   
BLACKBIRD                2.77

...PENNSYLVANIA...

PINDLETON                4.36 
FRYBURG-MARBLE           4.04 
ANSONVILLE               3.92 
WILLIAMSPORT             3.38 
LILLY                    3.32 
DAUPHIN                  3.22 
DECATUR                  3.16 
HEPBURNVILLE             3.16 
LONELY ACRES             3.16 
CROWN                    3.04 
KRISLUND CAMP            3.00 
PORT ROYAL               2.90
ALTOONA                  2.90 
SELLINSGROVE             2.86 
HARRISBURG               2.73 

...NEW JERSEY...

CHATSWORTH               3.33
WOODBINE                 2.66
ESTELLE MANOR            2.52
FORSYTHE                 2.48
HAMMONTON                2.43
ATLANTIC CITY            2.37
MCQUIRE AFB              2.25 
MOUNT HOLLY              2.20 
NEW LISBON               2.05
ATSION                   2.00

...NEW YORK...

EAST WOODHULL            1.78
TUSCARORA                1.52
JASPER                   1.44


ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM
WESTERN NEW YORK STATE AND PENNSYLVANIA...TO THE SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND STATES THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT SATURDAY POSITION...39.4 NORTH...AND 76.9
WEST...NORTHWARD MOVEMENT NEAR 10 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AT
40 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 11 PM EDT SATURDAY. REFER
TO YOUR LOCAL FORECAST OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONCERNING
THIS SYSTEM.
 
TRIMARCO

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL    02/2100Z 39.4N 76.9W
12HR VT    03/0600Z 41.3N 77.5W
24HR VT    03/1800Z 43.6N 77.7W
36HR VT    04/0600Z 45.1N 76.7W...OVER CANADA