THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER

CAMP SPRINGS, MD


TROPICAL SUMMARY MESSAGE



 
PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 35 FOR THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL052006
5 AM EDT SAT SEP 02 2006        

...REMNANTS OF ERNESTO REMAIN STATIONARY OVER SOUTHEASTERN
VIRGINIA... 

FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA...SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA...AND CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
VIRGINIA...THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA...SOUTHERN AND EASTERN
MARYLAND.

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NEW
JERSEY...PENNSYLVANIA...AND NEW YORK. 

HIGH WIND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF DELAWARE AND NEW
JERSEY. WIND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
DELAWARE...NEW JERSEY...AND PENNSYLVANIA..NEW
YORK...CONNECTICUT...RHODE ISLAND AND VERMONT.

AT 5 AM EDT SATURDAY...09Z...THE CENTER OF THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.4 NORTH...AND 76.7 LONGITUDE WEST OR
10 MILES SOUTH OF WEST POINT VIRGINIA.

THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST
SEVERAL HOURS. HOWEVER A NORTHWARD ACCELERATION IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  1004 MB OR 29.65 INCHES. 

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 4 AM EDT
SATURDAY

...FLORIDA...

ROCK ISLAND              6.74  
IMMOKALEE                5.96
MOORE HAVEN              4.74
KISSIMMEE                4.28
LEHIGH ACRES             4.16
LAKE WALES               3.85
OCHOPEE                  3.78

...SOUTH CAROLINA...

MT PLEASANT              6.82
MYRTLE BEACH             6.20  
MCCLELLANVILLE           6.35
DANIEL ISLAND            4.50
SURFSIDE BEACH           4.05  
CONWAY MARINA            4.00  

...NORTH CAROLINA...

GRIFTON                  9.85
CAPE FEAR RIVER          9.71  
WILMINGTON               9.58  
KINSTON                  9.57
SNOW HILL                8.40  
NEW RIVER NCAS           8.06  
WALLACE                  8.00
TRANTERS CREEK           7.57  
LONGWOOD                 7.23  
GREENVILLE               7.13  
RICHLANDS                7.06

...VIRGINIA...

VIRGINIA BEACH          10.43
UPPER SHERANDO          10.07
NORFOLK                 10.00
LITTLE PLYMOUTH          9.25
CHESAPEAKE               8.93
TOANO                    8.73
DEVILS KNOB              8.40
JAMESTOWN                8.25
CHINCOTEAGUE             8.00
GWYNN ISLAND             8.00
CARSON                   7.70
WINDSOR                  7.63
YALE                     7.50
PORTSMOUTH               7.11
HAMPTON                  7.00 

...WEST VIRGINIA...

ELLISON RIDGE            3.20
RIPLEY                   2.50  
SPENCER                  2.48  
RACINE                   2.43 
CHARLES TOWN             2.33 
TORNADO                  2.12  

...MARYLAND...

SNOW HILL                7.19
HOLLYWOOD                6.13
PRINCESS ANNE            5.90
SALISBURY                6.80
CAROLINE                 5.38
OCEAN CITY		 4.38 

...DELAWARE...

GEORGETOWN		 4.36   

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM WESTERN NEW
YORK STATE TO THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND STATES THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING.

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT SATURDAY POSITION...37.4 NORTH...76.7
WEST...NEARLY STATIONARY...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AT 30
MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 11 AM EDT SATURDAY. REFER
TO YOUR LOCAL FORECAST OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONCERNING
THIS SYSTEM.
 
PEREIRA

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL    02/0900Z 37.4N 76.7W
12HR VT    02/1800Z 38.9N 76.5W
24HR VT    03/0600Z 40.7N 76.7W
36HR VT    03/1200Z 42.8N 77.6W






Last Updated: 504 AM EDT SAT SEP 02 2006