HPC Storm Summary #19 for T.D. Danny




STORM SUMMARY 19 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANNY
NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL PREDICTION
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...NWS...WASHINGTON DC
100 PM EDT SUN JUL 20 1997

AT 10AM EDT THIS MORNING...TROPICAL STORM DANNY WAS DOWNGRADED TO
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION.  AT THAT TIME IT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8
NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.5 WEST... OR INLAND 30 MILES NORTHWEST OF
PENSACOLA...FLORIDA.  THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN DRIFTING SLOWLY TOWARD
THE NORTH NORTHEAST AND A SLOW MOSTLY NORTHEASTWARD DRIFT IS
EXPECTED TODAY.  THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER SOUTHEASTERN
ALABAMA TOMORROW AND NORTHERN GEORGIA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

RAINFALL WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS PROVEN TO BE THE GREATEST THREAT...
WITH 25 TO 30 INCHES REPORTED OVER SOUTHEASTERN MOBILE COUNTY IN
ALABAMA...TO THE WEST OF MOBILE BAY.  FOWL RIVER REPORTED 27 INCHES OF
RAIN SINCE THE STORM BEGAN THERE FRIDAY...THE BULK OF IT FALLING
BEFORE MIDNIGHT LAST NIGHT.  SINCE MIDNIGHT LAST NIGHT...THE HEAVIEST
RAINS HAVE FOCUSED ON BALDWIN COUNTY EAST OF MOBILE BAY IN
ALABAMA.  OVER THIS REGION...4 TO 8 ADDITIONAL INCHES HAVE FALLEN...
AGGRAVATING THE FLOOD PROBLEMS OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE
COUNTY.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE AND BALDWIN
COUNTIES IN ALABAMA UNTIL 3PM EDT TODAY.  A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
CONTINUES FOR ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES OF
FLORIDA... AND ESCAMBIA AND COVINGTON COUNTIES OF ALABAMA FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE DAY.  THREE TO SIX INCHES OF RAIN MAY FALL OVER
THESE AREAS TODAY.  A TOTAL OF 10 TO 20 MORE INCHES COULD FALL ALONG
THE PATH OF THE SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOOD LEVELS OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS ACROSS THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE ARE EXPECTED TO
SLOWLY RECEDE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

WINDS HAVE GREATLY DIMINISHED WITH THE STORM...DOWN TO 35 MPH
SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH.  THESE WILL WEAKEN FURTHER DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

THERE IS STILL A SLIGHT RISK OF TORNADOES TODAY OVER SOUTHERN
ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED AT 1 AM EDT MONDAY.

CISCO/WEATHER FORECAST BRANCH