12 STEP METHODOLOGY OUTLINE
1- WHICH MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE AVAILABLE?
2- LATEST MODEL SOFTWARE CHANGES AND UPDATED MODEL CHARACTERISTICS AND BIASES
3- MEAN HEIGHT MAPS AND CLIMATE PATTERN TO ESTABLISH STORM TRACK
4- COMPARE INITIAL AND MODEL FORECAST
5- CONTRAST MEDIUM RANGE MODEL RUNS..ASSESS PLAUSIBILITY..AND CONSIDER THE FORECAST PROBLEMS OF THE DAY