MEDIAN SIZE OF THE 3” FOR THE VARIOUS CATEGORIES, NOTE THE SMALL SCALE OF THE MOST INTENSE RAINFALL. THE BOTTOM RIGHT FIGURE IS THE LARGEST 3” DURING THE STUDY

CAT 1

CAT 3

CAT 2

BECAUSE OF THE SMALL SCALE, IT IS VERY HARD TO CORRECTLY FORECAST THE CORE OF HEAVIEST RAINS. SOME KIND OF PROBABILISTIC APPROACH TO FORECASTING MAY BE BETTER THAN A DETERMINISTIC ONE

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