How do you forecast small scale extreme events?
$.50”
$1.0”
$2.0”
$3.0”
.
VERIFYING ANALYSIS VALID 12Z JULY 29
8-10” OF RAIN ON FORT COLLINS & NEARBY FOOTHILLS
4 MILES AWAY ONLY .83” OBSERVED
295 HOUSES OR MOBILE HOMES DESTROYED, 4 KILLED
A LARGER MCS MOVED SOUTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM A SMALLER SCALE QUASI-STATIONARY CONVECTIVE STORM.
A HIGH RESOLUTION NON-HYDROSTATIC ENSEMBLE SUITE?