THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


TROPICAL SUMMARY MESSAGE



REMNANTS OF SIXTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD EP162015
900 AM MDT TUE SEP 22 2015

...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE OVER
ARIZONA AND NEW MEXICO...

SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...NO DISCERNIBLE SURFACE CIRCULATION


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WATCHES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA.
FLASH FLOOD WATCHES HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR CENTRAL ARIZONA AND
NEW MEXICO

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...THERE WAS NO DISCERNIBLE SURFACE
CIRCULATION FOR SIXTEEN-E. OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...SCATTERED
SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SIXTEEN-E CONTINUED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO NORTHERN NEW MEXICO. 
MEANWHILE...SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WERE
LINGERING OVER PARTS OF ARIZONA.  MOISTURE AHEAD OF AN UPPER-LEVEL
DISTURBANCE COMBINED WITH DAYTIME HEATING SHOULD TRIGGER
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA INTO NEW MEXICO
THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING.  BY WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...THE
AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAIN SHOULD BE MOVING INTO EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND
INTO PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.

HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BANDS OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E
COULD BRING UP TO ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS TO PORTIONS OF ARIZONA...EASTERN NEW MEXICO...AND
THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. THIS RAINFALL MAY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND DEBRIS FLOWS...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 6 AM MDT

...ARIZONA...
DAN SADDLE                           4.61                     
PARK TANK                            3.94                     
CALABASAS CANYON                     3.31                     
RIO RICO 3.6 E                       3.23                     
MANNING CAMP/RINCON MOUNTAINS        3.23                     
ITALIAN TRAP                         3.23                     
TUBAC 0.7 S                          3.20                     
GREEN VALLEY 11 ESE                  2.94                     
WHITE TAIL NEAR PALISADES            2.87                     
PECK CANYON                          2.87                     
FLORIDA CANYON                       2.83                     
ARIVACA LAKE                         2.80                     
PENA BLANCA LAKE                     2.71                     
EPHRAIM WASH/NOGALES                 2.56                     
ARIVACA/AMADO MINE                   2.44                     
MILLER CARR CANYON ALERT GAUGE       2.40                     
SANTA CRUZ RIVER AT TUBAC            2.28                     
MT LEMMON ALERT                      2.21                     
SIERRA VISTA 5 SW                    2.09                     
DRAGOON                              2.09                     
PATAGONIA LAKE                       2.05                     
NOGALES INTL ARPT                    1.93                     

...NEW MEXICO...
CLIFF 5.7 NE                         1.53                     
GILA HOT SPRINGS 0.2 SE              1.52                     
BAYARD 8.9 ENE                       1.41                     
GILA HOT SPRINGS                     1.30                     
ALBUQUERQUE 4.2 E                    1.17                     


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT  300 PM MDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER KONG




Last Updated: 1043 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015