THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


TROPICAL SUMMARY MESSAGE



POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NATE ADVISORY NUMBER 21...CORRECTED
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL162017
1100 AM EDT MON OCT 09 2017

CORRECTED FOR MAXIMUM WINDS.


...NATE CONTINUES TO BRING HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS TO MUCH OF
THE NORTHEAST...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...41.8N 79.5W
ABOUT 40 MILES...64 KM...ESE OF ERIE PENNSYLVANIA
ABOUT 45 MILES...72 KM...W OF BRADFORD PENNSYLVANIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...50 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 45 MPH...72 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
NATE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.8 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 79.5
WEST. NATE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FURTHER AS IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION. MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH NATE CONTINUES ACROSS MUCH OF THE
NORTHEAST AND PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN MID-ATLANTIC REGIONS THIS
MORNING AS TROPIOCAL MOISTURE INTERACTS WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY AND THE NORTHEAST. NATE IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE WEAKENING FURTHER AS IT TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD TODAY
THROUGH THE NORTHEASTERN U.S..

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
-------
RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN FROM
NORTHERN NEW YORK STATE INTO NORTHERN PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND
TODAY. RAIN SHOULD BE ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 11
AM EDT

...ALABAMA...
DIXON                                 6.94                    
FOLEY                                 6.54                    
ELBA 1 NNW                            5.55                    
MOBILE                                4.91                    
LEE 1 E                               4.80                    
LOWRY MILL                            4.68                    
BIRMINGHAM ARPT                       2.81                    

...FLORIDA...
CRESTVIEW                             8.32                    
HURLBURT FIELD                        4.34                    

...GEORGIA...
ANNA RUBY FALLS 3 N                   5.48                    
BRASSTOWN                             5.18                    
UNION 3 SSW                           4.98                    
SKY VALLEY                            4.97                    
CHOESTOE                              4.72                    
HIGDONS STORE                         4.70                    
TITUS 1 S                             4.20                    
LOOKOUT MOUNTAIN                      4.19                    
DALTON 1 NNW                          3.20                    
DOBBINS AFB/MARIETTA                  2.32                    
SMYRNA                                2.19                    

...INDIANA...
BROOKVILLE                            2.65                    
BATESVILLE                            2.57                    
DILLSBORO 2 ESE                       2.13                    

...KENTUCKY...
GREENVILLE 6 SSW                      6.12                    
HOPKINSVILLE                          5.72                    
EDDYVILLE 5 S                         5.28                    
LEITCHFIELD                           5.02                    
BAIZETOWN 3 ESE                       4.90                    
MADRID 3 S                            4.63                    
BENTON                                4.60                    
ROCHESTER 1 NNW                       4.40                    
CLERMONT 1 N                          4.17                    
CHAPLIN 3 ENE                         4.14                    
TONNIEVILLE 3 NW                      4.06                    
BALLTOWN 2 SW                         4.03                    

...LOUISIANA...
NEW ORLEANS/LAKEFRONT ARPT            1.13                    

...MISSISSIPPI...
BILOXI KEESLER AFB                    4.56                    

...NORTH CAROLINA...
SCALY MOUNTAIN                        6.36                    
HIGHLANDS                             6.00                    
COWEE FD                              5.99                    
BEAVER CREEK                          5.64                    

...OHIO...
MILL CREEK                            3.48                    
ASHLEY 5 SE                           3.16                    
COLUMBUS/OHIO STATE UNIV ARPT         2.95                    
CINCINNATI/LUNKIN ARPT                2.22                    
ELYRIA/LORAIN CO. ARPT                2.19                    
COLUMBUS/BOLTON FIELD                 2.13                    
ZANESVILLE MUNI ARPT                  2.06                    
LANCASTER/FAIRFIELD ARPT              2.03                    

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
PINE MOUNTAIN 4 NE                    7.07                    
SUNFISH MTN                           5.84                    
SLICKING MTN                          4.81                    

...TENNESSEE...
HIXSON                                5.36                    
MIDDLE VALLEY 2 NW                    5.36                    
GRAYSVILLE 5.5 WNW                    4.70                    
SOUTH PITTSBURG                       4.52                    
GROTTO FALLS                          4.51                    
GATLINBURG 5 SE                       4.49                    
CHATTANOOGA 5.1 ENE                   4.40                    
MILE STRAIGHT                         3.52                    
COALMONT                              2.67                    

...VIRGINIA...
HILLSVILLE                            3.00                    
VIRGINIA TECH ARPT                    2.22                    

...WEST VIRGINIA...
HUNTINGTON/TRI-STATE ARPT             2.38                    


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER FOR THIS SYSTEM. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS STORM.

FORECASTER SANTORELLI

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 09/1500Z 41.8N 79.5W
12HR VT 10/0000Z 44.3N 72.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP




Last Updated: 447 PM EDT MON OCT 09 2017