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Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (QPF) Discussion
 
(Latest Discussion - Issued 0953Z Oct 22, 2017)
 
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Abbreviations and acronyms used in this product
 
Geographic Boundaries -  Map 1: Color  Black/White       Map 2: Color  Black/White


QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
553 AM EDT SUN OCT 22 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID OCT 22/1200 UTC THRU OCT 25/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1

...NORTHWEST INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...

THE ONGOING ATMOSPHERIC RIVER DRIVEN HEAVY RAIN EVENT ACROSS THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL CONTINUE INTO THE MORNING HOURS AND SHIFT
SOUTHWARD WITH TIME. IN GENERAL THE MOISTURE AND WIND ANOMALIES
ASSOCIATED WITH THE ATMOSPHERIC RIVER EVENT WILL BE ON A DOWNWARD
TREND AFTER 12Z THIS MORNING...WITH RAINFALL RATES GRADUALLY
DECREASING WITH TIME AS WELL. AFTER 12Z ANTICIPATING AN ADDITIONAL
1-2" OVER THE TERRAIN OF WESTERN OR AND UPWARDS OF 1" OVER
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. IN GENERAL MODELS WERE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT...WITH A MULTI MODEL BLEND WEIGHTED MORE TOWARDS THE
HIGH RES GUIDANCE USED FOR QPF. OVERALL THIS FORECAST REMAINS
PRETTY GOOD CONTINUITY FROM OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST...WITH JUST A
SLIGHT QUICKER AND SOUTHWARD SHIFT OVER OR. WILL MAINTAIN A
MARGINAL RISK OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN OR.


...LOWER MS VALLEY/SOUTHEAST/TN VALLEY NORTH INTO THE GREAT
LAKES...

A COMPACT MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE FROM THE PLAINS AND
INTO THE MS VALLEY THROUGH THE DAY. BY LATER TODAY SHORTWAVE
ENERGY WITHIN THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO
PEEL OFF TO THE NORTHEAST INTO CANADA...WITH ADDITIONAL ENERGY
FOCUSING IN THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE TROUGH AND CONSOLIDATING
OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY. THUS FROM A LARGE SCALE FORCING
STANDPOINT...SHOULD GENERALLY SEE WEAKENING ASCENT ACROSS THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE TROUGH. ON THE OTHER HAND SYNOPTIC ASCENT
SHOULD INCREASE FURTHER SOUTH AS THE TROUGH TRIES TO BECOME
NEGATIVELY TILTED AND/OR CLOSE OFF...WITH THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW
ALSO BECOMING QUITE DIFFLUENT AS WELL. ANOMALOUS PWATS ABOVE THE
CLIMATOLOGICAL 90TH PERCENTILE WILL EXTEND ALONG THE EXTENT OF
TROUGH...WITH THE HIGHEST ABSOLUTE VALUES (~2") FOCUSED CLOSER TO
THE GULF COAST. INSTABILITY BY LATER TODAY WILL GENERALLY BE
FOCUSED FROM THE TN VALLEY AND POINTS SOUTH AS WELL. THUS GIVEN
THAT THE BEST FORCING/MOISTURE/INSTABILITY ARE ALL MAXIMIZED AS
YOU GO SOUTH..WOULD ALSO ANTICIPATE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS
HERE AS WELL.

SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES WERE NOTED THROUGH THE DAY 1 PERIOD ENDING
12Z MONDAY. OVERALL LEANED THIS FORECAST MORE TOWARDS THE HIGH RES
CAM SOLUTIONS...WHICH WERE GENERALLY A BIT FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST
WITH THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL. OVERALL THESE HIGH RES MODELS
HAVE A PRETTY GOOD HANDLE ON THE CURRENT CONVECTION MOVING OUT OF
THE PLAINS AND INTO THE MS VALLEY...AND ANTICIPATE THE SOUTHERN
EXTENT OF THE SQUALL LINE AND COLD POOL WILL HOLD TOGETHER ENOUGH
TO PROGRESS CONVECTION QUICKER OFF TO THE EAST THAN IS DEPICTED BY
MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS. THUS WPC QPF IS MORE HEAVILY WEIGHTED
TOWARDS THE HREF MEAN.

THE SYSTEM AS A WHOLE WILL GENERALLY REMAIN PROGRESSIVE...WHICH
SHOULD CAP THE UPPER LIMIT OF RAINFALL TOTALS. HOWEVER AS
SHORTWAVE ENERGY CONSOLIDATES WITHIN THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF THE
TROUGH AND THE TROUGH BEGINS TO TAKE ON MORE OF A NEGATIVE
TILT...LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BEGIN TO BACK...WHICH SHOULD SLOW THE
FORWARD PROGRESSION OF THE CONVECTION TO A DEGREE. ALSO ANTICIPATE
THAT THE CONVECTIVE LINE WILL BE MORE LOOSELY ORGANIZED THAN WHAT
WE HAVE SEEN OVERNIGHT...AND WE SHOULD BE ABLE TO GET SOME
DISCRETE CELLS OR CLUSTERS OF CELLS THAT FORM OUT AHEAD OF THE
LINE AND EVENTUALLY MERGE INTO IT. THE COMBINATION OF THESE
MERGERS AND THE GRADUAL SLOWING OF CONVECTION SHOULD RESULT IN
SOME AREAS OF LOCALLY ENHANCED RAINFALL TOTALS AND SOME FLASH
FLOOD RISK. THUS WHILE AREAL AVERAGED RAIN OF 1-2" WILL BE MOST
COMMON...ISOLATED POCKETS OF 3-5" ARE PROBABLE...WITH THE GREATEST
THREAT FROM EASTERN MS INTO AL AND THE WESTERN FL PANHANDLE. GIVEN
THE POTENTIAL FOR THESE HEAVIER AMOUNTS...WILL MAINTAIN THE SLIGHT
RISK. THE SLIGHT RISK AREA WAS SHIFTED A BIT SOUTHEAST TO BETTER
MATCH THE LATEST HREF PROBABILITIES. ALSO CUT BACK SOME ON THE
NORTHERN EXTENT OF THE MARGINAL AND SLIGHT GIVEN THE LIMITED
INSTABILITY AND EXPECTED FOCUS OF CONVECTION A BIT FURTHER SOUTH
AND EAST THAN WHAT IS DEPICTED BY THE GLOBAL MODELS.

CHANGES MADE FROM CONTINUITY WERE BOTH A EASTWARD AND SOUTHWARD
SHIFT TO THE HEAVIEST QPF AXIS. AS MENTIONED ABOVE THIS WAS BASED
ON THE LATEST HIGH RES GUIDANCE...AND THE EXPECTED IMPACT OF THE
CONVECTIVE LINE MODIFYING THE BROADER RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION.
AMOUNTS OVER PORTIONS OF KY/TN WERE THUS LOWERED..AND AMOUNTS OVER
AL INCREASED.




DAYS 2/3...


...SOUTHEAST TO THE MID-ATLANTIC...

A SOUTHERN STREAM LOW WILL BE SHIFTING EAST ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH
MONDAY MORNING UNTIL INTERACTION WITH A NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH
WILL DRAW THE LOW NORTH AS PHASING BEGINS. ANOMALOUS POLEWARD
MOISTURE ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE LOW WILL BRING PW STANDARDIZED
ANOMALIES OF 2.5 TO 3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL FROM THE
GULF COAST TO AREAS NORTH OF THE GREAT LAKES. THE NORTHWARD TURN
IN THE LOW WILL ALLOW THE MOISTURE PLUME TO PIVOT OVER THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...MAXIMIZING RAINFALL THERE AS OROGRAPHIC
AND FRONTAL FORCING COMBINES. THE DAY 2 (12Z MON-12Z TUE) SLIGHT
RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAIN WAS MAINTAINED FOR THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS. THE FORCING IS EXPECTED TO TAKE A TIGHT TURN NORTH
AND CROSS OHIO. THIS IS FARTHER WEST THAN PREVIOUS WITH LESS RAIN
NOW EXPECTED FOR THE MID-ATLANTIC. THEREFORE THE SLIGHT RISK AREA
WAS DRAWN WEST. NOCTURNAL TIMING IN THE MID-ATLANTIC ALSO LIMITS
HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL THERE.

THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF WITH THE 12Z
UKMET (FOR CONSIDERATIONS IN THE MIDWEST VS THE 00Z RUN) AND A
LITTLE OF THE 00Z GFS.


...MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES...

THE NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH RESPONSIBLE FOR DIRECTING THE ONGOING
ATMOSPHERIC RIVER IN THE PAC NW WILL BE OVER THE NORTHERN GREAT
PLAINS MONDAY MORNING BEFORE SHIFTING EAST AND PHASING WITH A
SOUTHERN STREAM LOW OVER THE MIDWEST MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.
ANOMALOUS PW FROM THE PRIOR TROUGH WILL PERSIST OVER THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE MIDWEST THROUGH THIS PHASE AND ALLOW FOR A SWATH OF
HEAVY...MAINLY STRATIFORM... RAIN. POSITION OF THIS SWATH HAS
VARIED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL RUNS AND UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS BUT
THE LOWER PENINSULA OF MI IS A LIKELY LOCATION. WPC QPF WAS BASED
ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF AND THE 12Z UKMET WHICH HAVE SIMILAR
POSITIONS OF THIS SWATH OVER MI. THE 00Z UKMET SET UP THE SWATH
EVEN FARTHER WEST WHILE THE 00Z GFS IS FARTHER EAST (OH AND
ONTARIO) WHILE THE 00Z NAM APPEARS TOO WEAK.

DESPITE THE POTENTIAL FOR 2-4 INCHES IN THIS SWATH...THE MAINLY
STRATIFORM NATURE WILL LIMIT THE EXCESSIVE RAIN RISK. A MARGINAL
RISK WAS MAINTAINED FOR THE MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES AREA FOR DAY 2
(12Z MON-12Z TUE).

A REINFORCING SHORT WAVE TROUGH SHIFTS SOUTHEAST OVER THE AREA
TUESDAY NIGHT ENHANCING RAIN WRAPPING AROUND THE PHASED LOW...BUT
MOISTURE IS SHALLOW ENOUGH TO NOT WARRANT A FLOOD RISK.


...NORTHEAST...

THE PHASED LOW WILL SHIFT EAST TO THE EASTERN SEABOARD TUESDAY
WITH RAIN PUSHING OFFSHORE TUESDAY NIGHT EXCEPT FOR THE NORTHERN
PORTION/NEW ENGLAND. CONTINUED SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE LOW
WILL RAISE THE PW ANOMALY IN THE NORTHEAST TO 2.5-3 SIGMA ABOVE
NORMAL. A NARROW SWATH OF 2-4 INCHES OF RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED
THOUGH THIS SWATH IS UNCERTAIN. LOW INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED IN NEW
ENGLAND (MUCAPE GENERALLY 250 J/KG AND LESS) WHICH WILL LIMIT THE
OVERALL POTENTIAL. GIVEN THESE AMOUNTS POTENTIALLY OVER HIGHLY
URBANIZED AREAS...A DAY 3 (12Z MON-12Z TUE) SLIGHT RISK FOR
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS RAISED FOR A SWATH CENTERED ON THE HUDSON
VALLEY. THIS WAS BASED ON A GENERAL BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS AND
12Z UKMET (WHICH WAS PREFERRED TO THE 00Z RUN DUE TO HANDLING OF
RAINFALL OVER THE GREAT LAKES ON DAY 2).


CHENARD/JACKSON

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml




24HR QP VT 23/12Z
 0.01 524262 506218 507203 499196 490197 481201 473205 469207
      465205 464203 465200 467195 473186 478177 480177 482180
      482183 484185 486184 486180 487178 490178 501181 505185
      508190 510196 514201 516206 519210 527215 530219 533217
      539208 541202 539194 537187 534183 530179 529172 521164
      508149 501139 493131 487125 477120 474116 473113 473108
      474103 472100 471095 468091 465090 462094 459095 457095
      454093 454089 455082 455065 454057 455048 453042 450039
      446036 441036 440038 439042 439050 442055 442063 441070
      443075 447079 450084 452089 447092 430090 426088 425092
      426095 429099 429102 426103 422104 421107 423114 425116
      427115 432114 436114 440115 443120 447121 452124 451127
      449128 443130 441133 442140 437142 434147 433155 434161
      436165 441168 443170 442173 440180 438186 437195 434208
      428216 424220 422222 423226 424231 422232 421229 415231
      412235 412241 415253 424257 430259 435259 442260 446256
      453249 456245 461249 475263 490283 497289 502292 503291
      504286 508284 512283 516280 519276
 0.01 545084 546077 545071 540061 538056 536048 533037 532033
      531028 530021 530013 529009 530000 533987 534981 534974
      531962 531953 533949 536934 537918 536902 533892 529888
      524888 520888 516886 514871 512864 510859 508854 505849
      503844 500844 498841 498837 501832 500829 505819 509810
      509805 507801 506796 505789 505785 502780 498773 495769
      491769 483775 475783 449811 438823 431829 424834 414839
      408840 404842 395841 384838 376836 370832 365825 365820
      368816 370813 370806 372802 369800 363802 359805 355807
      349808 343809 340806 340799 339795 340792 344785 343781
      339779 337775 333776 331774 327772 326767 324759 321758
      308761 292767 284772 280773 278778 281788 283792 278794
      273797 272799 270797 262794 253792 248797 242805 239805
      238810 238816 239826 239837 240850 242876 242883 244887
      248895 249907 249920 248925 248932 248946 248957 248969
      248972 244973 235977 233979 232983 236991 245995 247998
      250003 252005 255004 257001 260996 263995 266995 271995
      274991 279986 284992 287995 292996 299989 305983 326957
      336945 339941 342939 353941 364941 375939 385934 393930
      407920 414914 418911 422909 431906 438901 453891 461889
      470888 479882 482880 486883 492891 500897 503899 503903
      498911 488928 482937 479947 479962 479967 481970 484974
      485979 487986 487994 490050 489058 487060 485060 478054
      472053 471058 474064 475069 478079 480084 482089 487098
      490104 493107 494110 498111 501111 504107 510100 514090
      518076 519059 518051 516048 516044 518044 521049 525058
      528067 530078 532083 535088 538090 542090 545084
 0.01 498247 496241 493236 490231 485227 481223 478222 476225
      474227 475230 480229 485233 490237 493242 496247 498247
 0.01 280821 278815 276809 272803 270798 267803 263807 258810
      255811 255814 259817 264819 268822 273824 278826 280821
 0.25 520271 521263 520257 516253 514249 509238 505235 501236
      502225 499213 497209 494206 490203 486205 481204 476207
      470213 468214 466212 461213 458211 453211 444213 439214
      436216 427220 425223 428227 428234 424236 420238 418243
      418245 421248 426250 431252 435251 439249 443245 449240
      453237 454235 452233 451231 452228 456225 465222 469221
      473218 477218 483220 489223 492226 498235 501238 502244
      505256 506263 505268 502265 500258 495251 489242 485240
      485245 488250 491255 494265 497269 502272 509275 513278
      516276 520271
 0.25 509170 509169 509167 508166 506166 504165 504166 504167
      505169 506169 507171 509170 509170
 0.25 482242 482241 481239 481236 479234 479233 478232 476232
      475232 474234 474235 474237 475240 476242 478243 480243
      481243 482242
 0.25 492145 492140 491137 487132 483128 476125 471121 466123
      468129 469137 468140 465139 463133 460128 455130 451135
      451143 452149 448150 441147 438148 437152 439158 443163
      449166 454164 458162 463166 465169 463171 457172 454172
      452169 450172 451176 452180 451182 448185 452189 455189
      457187 466179 473168 480160 485162 484153 492145
 0.25 490825 490820 490810 488803 482800 472801 464809 458817
      455821 449825 431843 422849 416851 408853 403855 398856
      386853 382850 377850 369849 365846 362842 355841 353838
      354835 356829 359823 362818 361816 359817 353821 348823
      342825 339825 336827 335830 332833 327836 323841 318845
      313845 310841 306834 302830 298828 294826 298823 301819
      308818 312820 318820 323819 329816 332811 332806 330803
      324795 311793 305792 303789 301789 292785 289787 290791
      290799 290803 286807 284812 288817 292822 294825 292828
      298839 294840 286840 275840 270839 264836 259834 251834
      248838 247844 248859 252889 255894 260899 269903 273906
      276913 278919 282924 286927 292928 299935 297939 293941
      288943 281942 277946 274951 274958 277962 288968 294969
      299973 304973 308971 313967 315960 315952 314946 314942
      315939 319935 340923 344921 349917 354914 360911 364895
      369897 374900 379902 387902 392901 397902 402903 410903
      415902 420899 430892 438885 444874 448870 452867 457863
      464861 470858 476858 482857 485851 487844 487835 489831
      490825
 0.25 478144 476143 475143 474144 475145 476145 478144
 0.25 453103 453098 452095 448095 445096 438098 437102 435102
      434097 431094 429094 430097 432099 434104 437110 442111
      446112 447106 449107 451105 453103
 0.25 256992 256988 254986 251985 250987 248988 246987 242986
      240985 240986 242988 244990 247992 249993 253994 256992
 0.50 520269 521263 519261 516260 515258 512255 510254 510256
      510259 510265 511268 512271 514273 517273 519271 520269
 0.50 497263 499261 498258 498257 496256 495255 494256 494258
      495259 496261 497263 497263
 0.50 495218 494214 492212 489209 486208 483207 481206 480206
      477210 477212 477215 480217 482216 485216 486219 490219
      492217 495218
 0.50 479236 477234 476235 477238 479237 479236
 0.50 489137 487134 486132 483130 481129 478128 475127 473125
      472123 470125 471130 472133 472137 473140 477139 479137
      481136 484137 487138 489137
 0.50 484814 482811 477811 468815 464820 459827 445836 440842
      434848 428853 425857 421858 404863 376855 366854 363853
      360848 358845 355845 351843 350840 353833 355829 354824
      352824 348827 345830 343834 343839 340842 330844 324847
      316849 311850 307848 305846 300846 281849 273848 264846
      257843 255845 254851 254860 255870 258880 259885 261887
      269886 276890 282894 281902 281905 283909 290912 288919
      291918 293920 307928 313932 321930 329927 335922 349912
      355908 358904 357902 354902 350901 349897 353891 360887
      369886 378886 382888 382891 382893 384895 388895 393895
      396892 400887 403885 408883 413883 417880 424876 428871
      433869 436868 444865 447861 449856 454851 460845 463843
      467843 466846 471847 479844 480839 477835 476832 477827
      477824 484814
 0.50 476156 474152 472148 469145 467141 461140 460141 458140
      457142 457150 459153 461157 465159 468164 471163 475159
      476156
 0.50 458219 458217 455215 453213 448214 442214 435219 430221
      429224 430226 431230 430235 427238 423238 420240 420243
      423246 429248 434247 442242 445239 446236 445231 447229
      451226 458219
 0.50 464179 464176 463174 461174 459175 458176 456177 456178
      455179 455181 455183 457184 459182 460182 462181 462180
      464179
 0.50 453161 453159 453158 451157 449156 449155 448155 446153
      445152 443151 441151 441152 442154 443156 443157 444159
      444160 445162 447162 449162 451162 452162 453161
 0.50 444108 442107 442108 444108 444108
 0.50 430883 428883 427883 428883 430883 430883
 0.50 326809 326805 323802 318799 310797 303795 297792 293795
      293800 294803 300808 303809 306807 312809 319813 324811
      326809
 0.50 311964 310956 311947 310944 308942 301942 296944 290945
      287947 286949 287956 290962 293966 299968 306967 311964
 1.00 469152 469150 468147 467147 467148 469150 468152 469154
      469152
 1.00 464146 464144 463143 461142 460142 459143 459144 461146
      462148 464146
 1.00 450222 450218 449216 446216 444216 440216 438219 436221
      435223 433226 433229 434231 438231 440230 442229 445228
      447226 449224 450222
 1.00 441239 441237 440236 439235 439236 437237 435237 434237
      433237 432239 433241 435241 437241 437240 438240 440240
      441239
 1.00 429243 429242 428241 426241 424241 423241 422243 424244
      425244 427244 429243 429243
 1.00 439859 438857 436857 434857 433858 432859 431862 433862
      434861 435861 436861 438859 439859
 1.00 383872 382868 380866 377864 376862 360862 356862 354859
      356853 356850 354850 345849 331849 325851 316852 289857
      287859 288862 290869 289875 290880 291883 293891 292897
      294904 299908 303908 305911 302916 303918 305920 309920
      312919 317915 321910 321907 320904 323898 323893 325890
      331891 338891 345888 372881 379877 383872
 1.00 353828 351827 349829 348831 348832 347833 347835 348837
      349835 350835 351833 351832 352830 353829 353828
 1.00 339913 340908 338906 335904 333903 329903 326904 325907
      325911 325915 326919 330919 333918 336917 338915 339913
 1.00 320808 320806 320805 318804 316803 314803 313803 312803
      311803 312805 313805 315807 317807 318808 320808 320808
 1.00 305954 305952 305950 305949 303948 301949 301950 300952
      299953 299954 300956 301958 303957 305956 305955 305954
 1.50 447224 447221 447219 445217 444217 442216 441217 440219
      440220 438221 439223 440224 441226 442226 444225 446224
      447224
 1.50 373878 364874 359866 353866 349865 346862 345860 347858
      350854 348850 338854 332854 328855 318854 309857 303858
      299861 298866 300870 303874 303878 299882 298885 301895
      306897 312897 315894 321887 324885 329885 340884 350883
      362882 368881 372878 373878
 2.00 445221 445220 444218 443218 442217 441217 442219 442220
      443222 445222 445221
 2.00 358876 356875 354872 353872 350875 348876 345877 341877
      339878 341878 345880 347880 350879 352879 356878 358876
 2.00 347855 346853 343855 335857 327860 322860 322857 321855
      318856 309859 305861 303864 305873 307877 310880 303884
      304890 306892 308895 311894 317888 318881 311876 315870
      318868 322869 329872 336874 338871 339867 341862 343859
      347855
 3.00 329865 328865 326866 324866 326866 328866 329865
 3.00 314862 313861 311862 311863 313863 314862
 3.00 312890 311888 309890 311890 312890 

24HR QP VT 24/12Z
 0.01 496332 492330 490327 489322 489317 488314 489307 492297
      492294 488291 479288 482281 482278 481276 479272 477271
      481262 485255 489249 493241 493232 497226 504223 506221
      509222 511224 511231 514238 518246 523251 528247
 0.01 540208 539200 537193 534188 529183 526179 524171 521167
      518166 517169 517177 516182 520182 523184 524187 524200
      525205 522207 521210 522213 524218 527223 531228 534228
      535223 536213 540208
 0.01 546836 540823 536829 535832 533835 532833 531818 533807
      538789 541776 542772 541764 540746 539729 533725 530723
      528719 524712 520707 511720 505733 500739 495745 492748
      488749 478752 475754 471753 467753 464752 460750 456751
      453750 450752 441755 438754 436751 441733 442723 445715
      448708 450702 451699 448699 443705 439712 436716 431718
      424715 419712 413717 409723 406733 401741 383749 369755
      365756 363754 358751 352748 346743 340739 336739 332736
      335743 341751 338753 336753 330754 321757 313761 311763
      306764 297762 294765 288770 282775 280776 279781 276784
      268789 263790 259793 252795 249797 246796 242795 238797
      238807 236815 235824 234830 234834 234840 234846 233855
      231862 230872 231878 232884 235888 239893 240898 244897
      251895 259892 291875 305870 314871 319873 321877 334881
      347884 377894 381896 385894 390893 393891 402889 405898
      409907 412912 415914 419919 422921 426921 428920 427916
      423909 429905 427902 420903 414897 415894 417894 421894
      428897 436900 442895 452894 454896 454899 451903 448906
      448908 450909 450912 447914 442916 440918 435918 431921
      436923 443923 458923 462927 462934 462940 461945 460957
      460962 463964 468965 471967 475969 476973 480981 484987
      489996 492002 490005 495000 499990 501985 501980 501973
      502970 512961 518955 523948 529932 537912 540901 541894
      543888 543874 543869 541866 537866 535865 536862 539856
      546836
 0.01 479137 479135 479134 479137 479137
 0.01 469152 469150 467149 466147 466146 464146 463144 463143
      463144 464146 464147 466149 467150 469152 469152
 0.01 480917 480914 479913 477912 475913 474915 472916 471917
      470918 469918 467920 469922 470922 472922 474921 475921
      477920 477919 479919 480917
 0.01 441906 439906 438906 438909 440909 441906 441906
 0.01 425058 425056 425053 424051 423051 422048 420046 418045
      417045 415047 415048 416050 416052 416053 418055 419057
      420057 421058 423058 425058 425058
 0.01 416064 414064 414066 416064 416064
 0.25 510298 507300 505300 501299 499295 497288 494280 493269
      497261 499258 501253 503241 505239 508240 513247 517253
      523259 524259
 0.25 532744 529733 527732 523732 518733 515736 509742 503749
      497756 490764 483771 477776 470776 463772 455770 451768
      447766 435768 427765 422761 419757 419752 420743 419741
      417742 414744 407750 399754 390760 379763 371768 368770
      363771 356769 348766 340763 335763 329765 321768 304778
      293789 291792 291798 290808 287811 282814 276815 269814
      264816 261819 258828 255842 257847 258851 259857 260859
      263860 272861 281861 293859 297860 302861 312860 318863
      327865 334869 355872 362875 371878 378882 384881 394880
      405879 410879 416877 426874 433874 444873 451871 460870
      468868 473866 476863 488852 489845 488837 488827 490820
      493813 498807 509793 514784 518772 521765 526756 532744
 0.25 253875 252873 252871 252870 250869 248870 248871 247873
      247875 247877 248878 250877 251877 252876 253875
 0.50 513291 510294 506295 502291 500286 498281 497278 497270
      500268 504268 506263 507256 508253 510252 512254 515257
      519260 522262
 0.50 523747 522743 520742 516745 512750 499762 486774 479780
      469786 461788 457789 455787 453782 452776 449772 446770
      437773 435777 435785 432793 428797 424797 423795 420787
      421777 419770 417767 413758 408758 402759 398759 393761
      377773 371777 364780 359782 355781 348776 340773 337771
      333770 326772 321775 312779 306784 303790 301799 305807
      304813 301815 290819 283824 274824 269823 265825 262830
      264838 269846 271849 271854 272857 276857 280853 282848
      285848 289850 296854 301857 310856 319857 328860 336865
      344867 353868 362867 368869 372871 375873 378876 382877
      401875 407874 412873 421869 429866 437865 458864 464863
      468861 474853 476843 478838 481832 497801 507783 516765
      520756 523747
 0.50 314815 312815 311816 312816 314816 314815
 1.00 521268 520267 518265 517266 515266 515267 513268 512271
      512272 513274 514275 515276 517276 518277
 1.00 501780 497775 493777 487782 480786 466794 453800 447802
      440803 436805 434807 429812 421824 414828 410829 405830
      401835 403838 401840 394843 390844 386843 382839 381833
      382829 386821 393818 399816 404812 404805 403801 400799
      397797 393798 389798 387795 387786 379783 355795 350797
      345797 336800 331805 331812 334813 333817 330821 329825
      326827 320831 321837 316837 313836 308835 305835 303838
      301844 300849 304850 312849 319851 325853 327855 332855
      336854 341854 342860 345863 350863 361858 368858 371860
      373863 379868 382871 386871 400867 414863 428859 436856
      445854 451850 458848 464845 467841 476829 484814 492801
      497791 501780
 1.00 414774 412772 410772 409774 407775 407776 409777 411776
      411775 412773 414774 414774
 1.00 327788 326784 324782 321781 318782 316783 313786 312788
      313791 315794 317795 321794 323793 325790 327788
 1.50 487793 486790 484790 477792 467798 456803 452807 447811
      442813 437816 432821 429826 426829 421832 412840 394853
      389856 387861 394862 401860 411859 419858 424856 435853
      441850 446848 455841 462839 466836 470832 473827 476820
      478815 483804 487793
 1.50 382807 382792 380789 377789 373790 356803 348808 350810
      349813 346817 342826 344834 342836 335842 327850 327853
      333852 339851 344851 346855 346860 348861 351859 355857
      362850 365846 361843 356844 355839 359836 362833 362829
      369825 373821 375815 379811 382807
 2.00 478800 476797 473799 465802 458807 452812 439822 433826
      427831 421837 418844 415847 411849 409852 412854 416855
      420855 429851 438849 444846 451841 457835 463831 468823
      472818 475808 478800
 2.00 369817 367809 365805 362804 357810 353815 349822 345827
      347830 346834 344837 343840 345842 350842 355836 359830
      363825 368818 369817
 2.00 355852 355850 354849 352848 350848 349848 348851 348853
      348855 349857 351857 353855 354853 355852
 3.00 454830 453826 452823 450823 446825 443827 440830 436833
      433835 430838 432842 437842 439842 444840 447837 450835
      453831 454830
 3.00 363818 363814 362814 359816 357817 356819 354821 352824
      350826 349829 351830 355830 356827 358825 360823 362821
      363818 

24HR QP VT 25/12Z
 0.01 494333 490327 484323 484316 478315 471312 468311 467308
      469299 470294 471292 476276 481259 488246 492243 495236
      498228 501222 510215 514218 518219 521218 521210 520205
      522200 523188 522182 521179 523176 528178 530177 531171
      533160 535153 535147 536135 538133 539130 538122 537113
      536104 536099 537097 540099 545103 549105 552104 556105
      559108
 0.01 560099 554092 551083 544068 541062 540057 539047 539034
      539026 536024 533018 532014 528007 521989 511977 507970
      502965 497957 492951 487946 481942 467932 465929 467925
      470920 474917 479916 488916 496916 500916 504918 510923
      513925 517926 528935 531938 535939 541944 551955 561968
      565976 567980 567985 566024
 0.01 556817 536837 527847 519855 513864 510869 504875 499879
      495884 493886 490887 483889 477893 473897 468913 458910
      454905 451903 448904 441904 439904 441901 441892 436890
      431887 425889 419889 413889 409889 406893 405901 405906
      403910 401915 396922 392921 385920 381916 378909 377899
      372896 369894 369891 367856 368852 368846 368841 366836
      365829 371826 384820 390818 396815 403813 409809 421804
      428802 431801 432797 434782 435779 431778 424779 416779
      411775 405773 398773 392773 385774 355778 347780 342782
      335784 331786 323789 318793 307801 298807 292810 287816
      270835 254850 250856 246859 241863 240862 239857 238854
      234853 230854 226850 222845 224830 227817 229811 229804
      229791 233784 238780 247771 250767 255764 267757 273752
      280749 291744 303738 314733 319728 325724 330720 335716
      345708 356700 369693 382687 388685 394686 405688 421686
      428685 437682 442679 448676 454671 459671 462670 464668
      471665 479663 483657 486659 488661 491659 495655 497649
      501645 505644 512646
 0.01 360832 360831 359830 358830 356830 357832 359834 360832
      360832
 0.25 501319 498315 497309 496299 494287 492276 490266 489260
      490255 494254 498256 500254 501248 500241 501236 503233
      508233 512236 515240 518242 522243 525238 526235 526222
      524208 526198 531190 537183 539179 540172 543157 543151
      545146 550139 554141
 0.25 542739 537732 533727 528722 524717 519712 517705 515692
      512684 507680 502680 495680 490685 486690 479692 466693
      462695 458693 456691 453690 441699 436703 432705 428706
      423705 417707 401715 388719 381719 374721 369721 363722
      357728 354730 349730 345731 342733 336737 324745 319748
      314753 308758 302761 290768 284770 278773 270779 262783
      256787 251792 247796 238822 233827 231835 231842 233844
      238842 250837 253832 258830 265826 269821 278811 282807
      287805 295802 301798 311792 316787 322782 335776 341775
      348772 355768 362766 369767 376769 384766 391765 408763
      414764 422763 430761 436762 438767 440770 442772 445773
      452771 459768 465764 469758 469753 467747 467744 468741
      482738 486733 491729 500727 504728 505731 504735 505739
      506743 506748 504755 502760 498767 496773 495778 492782
      487786 477797 472801 466802 458804 451807 430822 419831
      409836 404837 401840 399843 399849 401864 403870 404873
      409877 415878 421875 446876 450875 454877 457882 460887
      463892 467892 471890 476885 486875 496869 507860 517849
      526839 533830 540820 549812 554802
 0.25 560993 559991 559990 558989 556988 555988 553989 553990
      553993 553994 553996 554998 554999 556999 557997 558996
      559995 560993
 0.50 510299 506297 503294 500287 496280 494272 493267 494261
      500261 503259 504255 505244 506241 509240 512242 515245
      521250 525250 527248 529245 531238 530232 529226 529221
      528215 528207 530200 532198 536194 538191 541188 543185
      545177 547172 548170
 0.50 551783 547781 545779 544776 545769 544763 540747 538743
      535741 530739 527740 521750 509764 503775 498783 485798
      472813 465820 461822 456823 451826 448829 445833 440837
      437840 432842 427841 423841 420845 416848 412850 409854
      409861 409866 411868 419867 424867 430868 440870 449870
      455871 457874 464883 468886 471883 477877 482869 485864
      491862 496861 500859 508852 514845 526830 538814 543809
      547805 553794
 0.50 487709 483702 477700 472698 466699 454706 450702 445703
      432710 424711 417713 404719 398721 391723 382726 376729
      362730 357734 351736 348735 344736 338740 327748 317756
      307762 296769 289773 284777 273784 261788 252798 250804
      249812 250819 255820 262818 266817 268814 276805 302795
      322780 335773 341770 346767 352764 359762 375759 383759
      389762 395762 398761 403761 420758 433755 445747 457741
      463739 469736 475732 478725 485717 487709
 0.50 461753 461751 460750 459749 459748 457748 455749 454752
      454754 455757 456758 458757 459756 461753 461753
 1.00 524258 523258 521257 520257 518257 517256 515255 514253
      512252 510253 509254 509256 508259 508261 507264 507266
      507269 506271 506274 506277 507277 508280 510281 511283
      512284 514285
 1.00 530806 531799 529794 525795 523799 520801 518803 517801
      516793 515790 511790 505793 494803 488808 484814 479820
      478824 478830 481837 487841 491842 495842 498841 503839
      513830 518826 523821 527814 530806
 1.00 505279 504276 504275 502273 501272 499273 499274 499275
      499276 500278 501280 501281 503281 504281 505279 505279
 1.00 474715 473710 471709 466713 463716 460718 456719 450717
      447714 443711 439712 435715 429718 418719 414720 408723
      398728 386730 381734 377736 371737 365739 351741 347741
      344742 340746 332753 315766 308768 302770 294776 287783
      283787 278790 273792 268796 269798 273799 277799 301793
      306790 311786 318779 336767 357757 358754 361753 367753
      370754 376753 382751 389750 397755 406758 417755 429750
      436748 440745 460733 466730 469725 472720 474715
 1.00 472860 472854 471850 466846 459843 456842 453843 447846
      443853 442857 444860 450863 459864 465866 468866 470864
      472860
 1.50 522265 520265 519265 517265 515265 514265 513266 511268
      511271 512274 514276 514277 515278 516279
 1.50 503818 504814 503811 499810 496813 493815 488818 485821
      485825 489828 492828 495827 499824 502821 503818
 1.50 456725 453721 449721 441719 431722 423723 417723 412724
      404729 395733 386735 378741 373741 368743 367745 368748
      372748 376749 379748 399745 405752 407755 412754 421751
      429747 439743 445738 452732 455728 456725
 1.50 354748 353746 352746 350746 348747 347748 345750 346752
      347752 349752 351751 352750 354748
 1.50 329766 329765 327765 325765 324767 323767 323769 322770
      320771 322773 324772 325771 326770 327769 328768 329767
      329766
 1.50 322773 315774 312773 311771 306773 302776 297780 294784
      295788 296789 302789 307786 310782 314778 315775 319774
      322773
 2.00 451726 440723 434725 428725 420726 413728 405731 399734
      395739 389738 385739 385743 389743 393741 401741 406743
      413744 414748 416750 419750 422749 425746 426743 429742
      434742 441738 441733 443732 448729 451726