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Model Diagnostics Discussion
 
(Caution: Version displayed is not the latest version. - Issued 0410Z Jul 22, 2018)
 
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Model Diagnostic Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
1210 AM EDT Sun Jul 22 2018

Valid Jul 22/0000 UTC thru Jul 25/1200 UTC

...See NOUS42 KWNO (ADMNFD) for the status of the upper air
ingest...

00Z NAM/GFS evaluation with preliminary model preferences
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Outside of the 12z Canadian's behavior with a deep layer cyclone
crossing south-central Canada Tuesday into Wednesday, the guidance
shows very good agreement mass field-wise.  A compromise of the
12z UKMET, 12z ECMWF, 00z GFS, and 00z NAM is advised with above
average confidence.


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Model trends at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/model2.shtml
500 mb forecasts at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/h5pref/h5pref.shtml


Roth